Breneman Leads with Committed Democrats Jay Breneman 2017-04-24T13:07:00-04:00 http://www.jaybreneman.org/news-and-releases/erie-mayoral-poll-results

A survey of registered Democratic voters in the City of Erie has Chairman of Erie County Council Jay Breneman leading the field of seven Democrats by 4 points among committed voters. Breneman, a U.S. Army veteran (2002-2009) who served two combat tours in Iraq before completing his education in Erie, Pennsylvania and Cleveland, Ohio, was elected to Erie County Council by an overwhelming majority of constituents in 2013.

The telephone survey consisted of four open-ended questions asked of registered Democrats who voted in 3 of 4 primary contests since 2012. Voters who met that criterion were randomly selected for the survey using an electronic database.1 407 Democrats participated in the survey.

Breneman leads the seven candidates for the Democratic nomination for Mayor of the City of Erie with 29 percent of the committed vote, Bob Merski received 25 percent, and Joe Schember rounded out the top three with 20 percent. The four remaining mayoral candidates trail significantly with Almi Clerkin and Ruby Jenkins-Husband at 6 percent, and Steve Franklin and Lisa Austin at 4 percent. Six percent of respondents would not disclose their choice. To date, 64 percent of registered “super-voter” Democrats remain undecided.

 



Q1: Are you voting in the May Democratic Primary?

Q1: Are you voting in the May Democratic Primary?

Sample size: 407 participants

 



Q2: Have you discussed the Erie Mayoral Primary with friends or family?

Q2: Have you discussed the Erie Mayoral Primary with friends or family?

Sample size: 378 participants

 



Q3: Have you committed to voting for a particular candidate?

Q3: Have you committed to voting for a particular candidate?

Sample size: 378 participants

 



Q4: Which Democrat will you support in the Mayoral primary?

Q4: Which Democrat will you support in the Mayoral primary?

Margin of error +/- 3.9 percent
* Undisclosed voters were committed to a candidate but refused to name their selection. This category is distinct from “undecided” voters, who have yet to commit to a candidate for Mayor.

 


 

These results offer a stark contrast to earlier polls that suggested a much narrower commitment by “likely” Democratic voters. Furthermore, this poll clearly identifies undecided “super-voters” who have yet to choose a candidate ahead of major sequential debates during the first week of May and the official endorsement of local media outlets.


[1]
Voters were called between March 13 and April 22; Monday - Friday between 2pm and 9pm, and Saturday - Sunday between 11am and 5pm.

Breneman Leads with Committed Democrats

Posted on April 24th, 2017 at 1:07 PM
Breneman Leads with Committed Democrats

A survey of registered Democratic voters in the City of Erie has Chairman of Erie County Council Jay Breneman leading the field of seven Democrats by 4 points among committed voters. Breneman, a U.S. Army veteran (2002-2009) who served two combat tours in Iraq before completing his education in Erie, Pennsylvania and Cleveland, Ohio, was elected to Erie County Council by an overwhelming majority of constituents in 2013.

The telephone survey consisted of four open-ended questions asked of registered Democrats who voted in 3 of 4 primary contests since 2012. Voters who met that criterion were randomly selected for the survey using an electronic database.1 407 Democrats participated in the survey.

Breneman leads the seven candidates for the Democratic nomination for Mayor of the City of Erie with 29 percent of the committed vote, Bob Merski received 25 percent, and Joe Schember rounded out the top three with 20 percent. The four remaining mayoral candidates trail significantly with Almi Clerkin and Ruby Jenkins-Husband at 6 percent, and Steve Franklin and Lisa Austin at 4 percent. Six percent of respondents would not disclose their choice. To date, 64 percent of registered “super-voter” Democrats remain undecided.

 



Q1: Are you voting in the May Democratic Primary?

Q1: Are you voting in the May Democratic Primary?

Sample size: 407 participants

 



Q2: Have you discussed the Erie Mayoral Primary with friends or family?

Q2: Have you discussed the Erie Mayoral Primary with friends or family?

Sample size: 378 participants

 



Q3: Have you committed to voting for a particular candidate?

Q3: Have you committed to voting for a particular candidate?

Sample size: 378 participants

 



Q4: Which Democrat will you support in the Mayoral primary?

Q4: Which Democrat will you support in the Mayoral primary?

Margin of error +/- 3.9 percent
* Undisclosed voters were committed to a candidate but refused to name their selection. This category is distinct from “undecided” voters, who have yet to commit to a candidate for Mayor.

 


 

These results offer a stark contrast to earlier polls that suggested a much narrower commitment by “likely” Democratic voters. Furthermore, this poll clearly identifies undecided “super-voters” who have yet to choose a candidate ahead of major sequential debates during the first week of May and the official endorsement of local media outlets.


[1]
Voters were called between March 13 and April 22; Monday - Friday between 2pm and 9pm, and Saturday - Sunday between 11am and 5pm.

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